Sunday, August 6, 2017

Rainfall check -6 (August 2017)

Previous articles:-

{Analysis of final rainfall tally for the month of July 2017 was posted as an update at the end of the July article. Rainfall check - 5 (July 2017)}

The month begins with average to below average astrological features for rainfall and improves in the 2nd fortnight with mixed features. The negative features weigh over positive features in general.

Rainfall spoiling features:-

1. Venus and Mercury are 66 degrees away from each other on 1st August. This distance gets reduced only towards the end of the month. The closeness begins on 27th August and continues throughout the month of September and ends on 8th October. After a lean period, the revival of SWM can be expected on 27th August.

2. Transit of Venus in Nirjala nadi between 12th August to 24th August. Venus will be in Punarpoosam (Punarvasu) during this period. This will see cloudy days but lack of rains. Clouds gather but would remain subdued.

3. Entry of Mars in Leo happens towards the end of the month on 27th and 28th when Venus- Mercury closeness begins.  Mars in Leo (fiery sign) and particularly in the star of Magha reduces rainfall and causes hot conditions. Sun and Mars will be together in Leo from then onwards for a fortnight. This will upset rainfall.

4, Absence of any kind of trigger during most part of the month for a meteorological activity to ensure good rainfall Venus, Mercury and Sun are away from each other most of the time, until month-end.

Rainfall supportive features:-

1. Mars, Sun and Saturn are in alternating signs which happen to be watery signs indicating North. North India continues to be in the line of rainfall. When Moon comes in 5th, 7th and 9th houses to these planets, there will be rainfall in the region indicated by the sign and the stars transited by these planets. This alternating combination continues till 16th August. On 17th August Sun shifts to the next sign.

2. Mercury makes 2 moves – one is retrogression that starts on 13th August and the other is Mercury getting into combustion with Sun. This starts on 17th August. Both these dates are capable of triggering rainfall.

3. Mercury crosses Sun on 26th and 27th – which indicate a trigger to a meteorological activity.

4. Venus- Mercury closeness begins on 27th August and continues steadily closing the gap between them.


The important dates of rainfall are given in the following table.


Date
Astrological features.
Event
Location
Spoilers, if any
1.
Aug 6-8
Moon in Amirtha Nadi. In 7th house from Sun and Mars, and 3rd from Saturn.

Sun, Mars and sat in alternating signs that happen to be watery signs.
Rainfall
North India.

NE and SE part of North India, covering N.Andhra, Orissa, Bengal, Gangetic plain and Himalayan foot hills.

NW India

-
2.
Aug 11- 12
Moon in 5th from Saturn and 9th from Sun and Mars.

All these planets are in watery signs
Good rainfall
Same as above.
North India and NE part of North India will benefit more.
-
3.
Aug 12 – 24
Venus enters Nirjala Nadi
Reduction in rainfall
East India and West India will see reduction in rainfall
-
4.
Aug 13
Mercury begins retrogression
Sudden rainfall.
SE part of North India and Andhra.
-
5.
Aug 17
Sun enters Leo.
The alternating position of Sun, Mars and Saturn comes to an end.
Reduction in rainfall
 North India.
-
6.
Aug 17- 19
Moon joins Venus in Gemini and comes in angles to Jupiter
Rainfall
West India.
South India

7.
Aug 19
Mercury begins combustion
Trigger to rainfall.
Eastern section of central India.
Orissa, Andhra
-
8.
Aug 24.
Venus comes out of Nirjala nadi
Improved rainfall
Eastern part of North India

9.
Aug 26- 27
Mercury – Sun conjunction. Mercury crosses Sun in retrogression.

An important meteorological event will happen.


Trigger to rainfall.
North part of Peninsular India covering Orissa. Vidharba, Andhra.
-
10.
Aug 27
Mercury – Venus closeness begins.
Revival of Monsoon conditions.
North, NE India.

N & NE part of peninsular India including Andhra.
-
11.
Aug 27
Mars enters Leo
Affects rainfall
Eastern sections mentioned above.

There will be mixed trends in rainfall in the regions mentioned in the above box.

Destructive rainfall also indicated by this combination
(Mars in Leo with retro Mer and Sun in front)




Outlook for Chennai.

Chennai is likely to fare better in August compared to July.

The Garbottam chart is given below.



























































































The dates from August 16th to 20th are blue tinted.

This is to show a peculiar connection between the Garbottam dates and rainfall dates. As Lunar dates are piling up leading to an Adhik Masa next year, we come across split lunar phases in the solar month. Due to this, instead of the usual 6 and a half month gap (between Garbottam and rainfall), a 5 and a half month gap has started setting in.

The Garbottam of March 8th and 9th gave rain on July 19th and 20th which should be originally related to Feb 8 and 9th.

For those willing to learn how this happens, let me explain it.
Garbottam was observed on March 8th and 9th.

This was on waxing Ekadasi and Dwadasi (in Maasi month)

Counting from Maasi, 6th month was Aadi and we have to see waning phase of Aadi for the corresponding dates of rainfall.

Ekadasi and Dwadasi in waning phase occurred in the beginning of Aadi, that is on 19th and 20th July.

If one observes the dates in the above table, after August 15th, the date jumps back to July 19th and 20th. This backward jumping continues in August till the date that corresponds to March 13th when the next lunar phase began then.

In the last month Garbottam chart, there was no clue for rainfall on July 19th and 20th. But now when I was going through the next period of Garbottam I could see justification for it in Garbottam of March 8th and 9th.

This kind of jumping backward is likely to continue till we cross Adhik Masa next May. 

We have to watch whether this has any impact on rainfall, leading to its reduction.


5 comments:

tsnagarajan said...

Dear Madam:

My name is Raja Nagarajan,a super senior (80+) living in New Jersey.I am doing a predictive analytics study on

Natural Disasters using Python,Machine Learning and Astrology.I have gone thru some literature on astrology and earthquakes.

I happen to read your blog.I must say they are really exhaustive,especially your analysis of indonesian and chilie earthquakes.

I find a link to your 2 part research in scribd.I am unable to download since it is a paid site.I shall be grateful if you can send me

those papers and any other print matrials on earthquakes and other natural disasters

I am coming to chennai and will be there for a month.

my email id is tsnagarajan@gmail.com if you can give yours i shall contact you.

Good luck on your pursuits in diffrent fields.

nagarajan

tsnagarajan said...

i do not know whether my post has been published

jayasree said...

@ Mr Nagarajan. Thanks for the comment. Sent to your mail id the 2 articles of mine on earthquake

Aravindan M.S. said...

Mam,
I suspect, rainfall failure are merely coincides with your Garbottam observations more than planetary combinations so far..
And some weather models suggests that until november end, dry weather with lesser rain to prevail for chennai & TN.
In that way, even if it rains for 1st to 15th December, It won't be sufficient for upcoming year..
Are we heading for another Monsoon failure?

Your latest observations on NEM-2017 for chennai & tamilnadu.

Thanks in advance.

jayasree said...

Dear Mr Aravindan,

I was out of station for over a fortnight and hence could not update. I will do so in a few days' time.

In my understanding and observation so far, local Garbottam is more important but it has its limitations, as we can not observe night time garbottam. This year, nearly 90% rainfall to Chennai occurred during day time - which must have had its genesis in night time garbottam. This is a difficult part of Garbottam observation and garbottam based prediction. In such a scenario, we have to depend on planetary combinations. Let me see how it works for the NEM season. I will check it in the next few days and post.